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2024-12-13 04:50:10

It is also possible to fill the gap after jumping high (high opening and low walking). Technically, according to the traditional theory, the gap gap has the attraction of compensation. If there is a lack of buying support at a high opening, profit and lock-up selling pressure will cause the stock price to fall back to make up for the gap. Psychologically, investors are "afraid of heights", and after opening higher, they are worried about being quilted and selling. If the macroeconomic data is less than expected, even if the policy stimulus is higher, calm investors will sell because the stock price is overvalued after examining the fundamentals and corporate profits. If only a few industries benefit from policies and cannot drive the overall situation, the market will open higher and go lower under the impact of negative news.After the Political Bureau of the Central Committee released positive signals such as stabilizing the stock market, the market is full of expectation and speculation about the future trend of the broader market. The following are in-depth analysis of several possible trends.


In short, the stock market is unpredictable, and any trend is influenced by many complicated factors. Investors need to observe calmly and analyze rationally, and respond flexibly according to their own risk tolerance and investment planning.It is also possible to fill the gap after jumping high (high opening and low walking). Technically, according to the traditional theory, the gap gap has the attraction of compensation. If there is a lack of buying support at a high opening, profit and lock-up selling pressure will cause the stock price to fall back to make up for the gap. Psychologically, investors are "afraid of heights", and after opening higher, they are worried about being quilted and selling. If the macroeconomic data is less than expected, even if the policy stimulus is higher, calm investors will sell because the stock price is overvalued after examining the fundamentals and corporate profits. If only a few industries benefit from policies and cannot drive the overall situation, the market will open higher and go lower under the impact of negative news.As for the unilateral rise, it is more difficult to achieve. In terms of policy, supporting policies that need to go far beyond the current strength and continue to exert their strength, such as the coordination of sustained monetary easing and large-scale fiscal stimulus, have not yet been presented. In terms of capital flow and consensus, institutions, foreign investors and retail investors have different characteristics and strategies, so it is difficult to form a unified force and a high degree of consensus to promote unilateral rise. In the external environment, the global stock market is closely linked, and the shift of monetary policy in Europe and America or the risk aversion caused by geopolitical conflicts will hinder the unilateral rise of A shares.


As for the unilateral rise, it is more difficult to achieve. In terms of policy, supporting policies that need to go far beyond the current strength and continue to exert their strength, such as the coordination of sustained monetary easing and large-scale fiscal stimulus, have not yet been presented. In terms of capital flow and consensus, institutions, foreign investors and retail investors have different characteristics and strategies, so it is difficult to form a unified force and a high degree of consensus to promote unilateral rise. In the external environment, the global stock market is closely linked, and the shift of monetary policy in Europe and America or the risk aversion caused by geopolitical conflicts will hinder the unilateral rise of A shares.After the gap opens higher, the probability of upward oscillation is quite high. The favorable policy is undoubtedly a shot in the arm, which can strongly attract the influx of funds at the opening and promote the opening of the market high jump. However, it takes time for the policy to take effect, and the market will gradually digest its dividends, so it is difficult to soar. Although the rise of FTSE A50 and other external markets drives A-share sentiment, the profit-taking market will not miss the opportunity of taking profits at a high opening, which will lead to shocks due to selling pressure. However, under the policy guidance, funds will continue to flow in and the sector will rotate in an orderly manner. Real estate, finance and other sectors mentioned by the policy moved first, and technology and consumption were relayed. Under the cooperation of multiple sectors and the commitment of funds, the overall market fluctuated upward.In short, the stock market is unpredictable, and any trend is influenced by many complicated factors. Investors need to observe calmly and analyze rationally, and respond flexibly according to their own risk tolerance and investment planning.

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